A quick view of top bookmakers, shows that the odds on England to win Euro 2024 are just 3/1 in places, with Gareth Southgate’s side set to head to Germany as favourites to lift the trophy.
The good news for Three Lions fans is that the team at Opta Analyst has released the Opta Supercomputer pre-tournament predictions, and according to the algorithm, England are the side most likely to win the tournament, with a 19.9% chance of success.
Also, check out the latest Euro 2024 betting offers below, courtesy of the best online bookmakers.
England - Opta’s Opinion
The Opta Supercomputer has simulated Euro 2024 a staggering 10,000 times and confirmed its pre-tournament percentages, which makes for some pleasing reading for England fans.
- England are the nation most likely to win Euro 2024, with a probability of 19.9%
- The country likely team to stop England are France (19.1%), who have reached the last two World Cup finals and who defeated the Three Lions in the quarter-finals in Qatar in 2022
- Hosts Germany (12.4%), Spain (9.6%), and Portugal (9.2%) are also seen as genuine contenders to lift the trophy
England have often arrived at major tournaments over the last two decades as worthy contenders, but they head into Euro 2024 in the unfamiliar role of favourites, topping the Euro 2024 betting odds.
Group Stages
England are not expected to face any significant issues in the group stages. They face Denmark, Serbia, and Slovenia, with a last-16 spot (95.4%) a near certainty for the Three Lions, according to the supercomputer
But topping this group may be more important than it is in others, as the runner-up in Group C will have to play the Group A winner - potentially hosts Germany - in the last 16.
| Position in Group | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1st | 67.2% |
| 2nd | 21.3% |
| 3rd | 8.2% |
| 4th | 3.3% |
Knockout Stages
The Opta Supercomputer believes that England have a 70% likelihood of reaching the quarter-finals again.
Their chances of advancing to the semi-finals are even better, at 48.2%, higher than any other team in the tournament.
| Knockout Stage | Probability |
|---|---|
| Last 16 | 95.4% |
| Quarter-Final | 70% |
| Semi-Final | 48.2% |
| Final | 31.1% |
| Winner | 19.9% |
